
While Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and ageing cars have been the standard in many
countries, a new and silent movement is beginning. As Africa's biggest nation
and richest economy, Nigeria is seeing the beginning of a transformation in
automobiles, which is being fueled by electric vehicles (EVs). Despite the
strong use of fossil fuels in Nigeria's transport system for years, the trend
toward sustainable mobility is starting to take hold there, affecting everyone
from consumers and businesses to policymakers.
According to new data from the Nigerian Bureau of
Statistics, registrations of electric vehicles have seen a 143% rise over the
past 18 months, despite beginning with very few vehicles. This year, about
7,800 Nigerian vehicles are fully electric, which is modest based on the total
number of cars in the country, but it is a huge step away from petrol. Experts
from IndustryARC project that the Nigerian EV market, worth $58 million in
2024, will grow at a fast rate and reach $230 million by 2030, outperforming
the slow growth rate of cars in the country.
Despite this, Nigeria continues to face regular energy,
environmental, and economic issues linked to changes in the price of oil. This
has created challenges and benefits for the largest oil producer in Africa when
it comes to electric vehicles. EVs in Nigeria are changing not just the
cars on the roads but also the transportation structure, how energy is
used, and possibly the country's economic outlook.
Nigeria's EV Landscape: Current State and Key Players
Electric vehicles are just starting to be used in Nigeria,
but they have gained a lot of attention since the beginning of 2022. At first,
most electric cars in the area were previously owned imports from Asia and
Europe, but now established international brands and local inventors are
entering the market.
Global Giants Making Inroads
Out of all the popular EV brands in Nigeria, Tesla is still
the car of choice for luxury enthusiasts, with around 950 on the roads, mostly
the Model 3 and Model Y. The company's lack of official sales and support
locations keeps its overall appeal limited. Chinese manufacturers have
particularly taken advantage by moving to the forefront of Nigeria's emerging
EV sector.
Since opening its showroom in Lagos, China's electric
vehicle leader BYD Auto Co. has made significant headway in Nigeria. The Dolphin
and Han, cheaper than Tesla vehicles and two of NIO's models, make up around
1,200 EVs found in Nigeria. BYD aims to build a regional assembly plant in
Lagos by 2026, and this move would put it at the head of other major EV
companies in West Africa.
Besides the ones already mentioned, several Chinese brands
are also growing in popularity:
1. Nio: With its battery-swapping solution well-suited for
Nigeria's power supply issues, Nio has managed to sell about 630 vehicles since
beginning its operations there in 2023
2. Xpeng: Specializes in tech-savvy midrange cars with good
driver safety features, and, as of now, they have sold nearly 420 vehicles.
3. Geely: Focus on the A-series sedan for the mass market
has seen over 780 customers purchase its cars
4. GAC Aion: Offers luxury cars and has seen just about 290
purchases
Most buyers have picked Chinese EVs because they are more
suitable for local roads and can be used with the variable electricity supply
in Nigeria.
Local Innovation and Adaptation
It may be more interesting to note the rise of domestic EV
solutions than the participation of multinational companies. Nigerian startup
JET Motors says it has so far produced about 350 of its custom-made JET EV
minibuses for commercial transport in Nigeria. They are built with battery
systems, so they can cope with the unreliable electricity and bumpy roads in
China.
Hyundai Nigeria has also joined hands with Oando, a Nigerian
technology firm, to design the Kona Electric for the local market and has sold
about 520 units. It has better suspension and cooling systems, so it can handle
the tough conditions and climates in Nigeria.
Driving Forces Behind Nigeria's EV Transition
Interest in electric vehicles in Nigeria is driven by different factors that run parallel:
Economic Considerations
Nigeria, the biggest oil producer in Africa, keeps
experiencing shortages and constant changes in fuel prices. By removing fuel
subsidies in 2023, the government resulted in petrol prices skyrocketing to
more than twice what they were, making cars much more expensive to own.
Research done by PwC signifies that running an electric car is now nearly 60%
cheaper than running an internal combustion car, while the electric car costs
more at first.
Calculations for new production processes are especially
encouraging to commercial operators. According to the Lagos State Transport
Authority, taxi drivers using EVs have seen their daily expenses drop by almost
half, so they can recover their investment more quickly. As a result, almost
350 taxis in Lagos have switched to electric power since 2023.
Policy Support and Infrastructure Development
Policies are now being put in place by the Nigerian
government to speed up the Sustainable Transport Nigeria project. This year's
Electric Vehicle Policy cuts down on the import duties of fully electric
vehicles from 35% to only 10% and also rewards local assembly with tax
benefits. The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission has come up with
different tariffs for EV charging stations, which bring down electricity for
EVs by around 25% during off-peak hours.
While infrastructure is not yet complete, work on it is
increasing. Lagos has 47 public charging stations, while Abuja currently has
28. Supported by the World Bank, the Nigeria Electrification Project hopes to
put up 250 electric vehicle charging points in the country's six major cities
by 2026.
Environmental Awareness
Almost all of Nigeria's major urban areas have high levels
of air pollution, and Lagos is polluted to the extent of having 5 times the
recommended PM2.5 levels every year. Environmental experts at the Nigeria
Environmental Standards and Regulations Enforcement Agency believe that vehicle
exhaust makes up about 40% of pollutants in the air of cities. More and more
people are becoming aware of the health risks, which is motivating them to
choose greener transportation methods.
Nigeria Climate Action Network found through a 2024 survey
that 72% of urban car buyers now put great or medium importance on the
environmental impact of their purchases, a rise of 28% from 2019.
Challenges to Widespread EV Adoption
Growth in Nigeria's EV market has been noticeable, but significant
hurdles are holding it back:
Infrastructure Limitations
The inconsistent Nigerian power grid makes EVs a hard choice
for many people. Since people in major cities often lose power for 4-6 hours a
day, and those in rural areas lose it for much longer, the worry about charging
reliability does not go away for potential buyers. The 2024 amendments to the
Nigerian Electric Power Sector Reform Act aim to solve these issues by
earmarking investments for grid stability in certain key areas, but progress is
just starting.
Cost Barriers
While the cost of running an EV is less, most Nigerians
cannot afford to buy one right now. Buying a typical electric vehicle costs
about N25 million ($31,250), which amounts to far more than a Nigerian worker
typically earns in over 10 years. While duties have come down, most people who
want a new EV still cannot afford it.
Used EVs are more affordable, though they might raise
questions about how well the batteries will last. According to experts, the
cost of replacing defective batteries in second-hand EVs can reach N8-12
million ($10,000-15,000), thereby making electric vehicles cost more than
expected.
Technical Expertise Gap
There is a lack of well-trained and qualified technicians to
repair and service electric vehicles in Nigeria. The National Automotive Design
and Development Council says that just around 500 mechanics nationwide have
special training for electric vehicles. Because of this, it's harder to do
maintenance, and the cost of services goes up by roughly 35% compared to other
vehicles.
Future Outlook: Nigeria Automotive Industry Trends
With more electric vehicles appearing on Nigerian roads, key
trends are now becoming visible:
Localization and Assembly
Assembling and manufacturing electric vehicles close to
consumers is playing a key role in making EVs more sustainable. Meanwhile,
Innoson Vehicle Manufacturing (IVM) from Nigeria has revealed that they are
planning to introduce an electric vehicle by mid-2026, with the capacity to
make 10,000 per year. By bringing together manufacturing and sales, it is
anticipated that import costs and transport expenses for the vehicles will fall
by 25%.
Hybrid Transition Strategy
Understanding the difficulties Nigerians have accessing
power and mobility, many car makers are exploring hybrid vehicles as a route to
wider adoption. According to Toyota Nigeria, hybrid models have seen a big
increase in sales and now account for 18% of all new cars sold. They are more
environmentally friendly, consume less fuel, and help cover the problem of not
enough charging stations.
Battery Innovation
Several companies have begun to develop battery-based
solutions specifically for dealing with power troubles in Nigeria. A
Lagos-based start-up called Reeddi is testing out swappable batteries for
electric commercial vehicles, and Auxano Solar is devising ways for
solar-charged electric cars to charge at home, helping to cut reliance on the
power grid. Such improvements could help deal with one of the main factors
holding back Nigeria's EV industry.
Commercial Sector Leadership
Commercial fleets are leading the rise in EVs since the
money saved in operations is often higher than the upfront costs. Lagos State
plans to convert 30% of its public cars and buses to electric by 2030, which
would be about 5,000 vehicles. On the same note, GIG Logistics is working
toward switching 50% of its fleet to electric vehicles by the year 2028.
The Importance of EVs in Changing the Economy
Nigeria's status as the continent's largest oil producer
makes it harder to take part in the global shift toward more electricity.
Earnings from the oil industry make up about 80% of the country's exports and
50% of its government's taxes. If there is a major change to EVs everywhere,
Nigerian crude oil demand could fall, which may put financial pressure on
Nigeria unless its efforts to diversify are boosted.
Nevertheless, the change creates opportunities for the
economy. In Nigeria, there are large amounts of lithium, cobalt, and many other
minerals key to making batteries. This ministry has estimated that processing
minerals and steel locally would bring in an additional $12 billion every year
by 2030 compared to exporting them as raw materials.
Conclusion
The switch to electric vehicles in Nigeria brings about much
more than a technology change; it involves adjusting the country's energy
system, economic goals, and considering the environment. Despite several
difficulties, the numbers make it clear that people are adopting EVs much
faster than anyone could have imagined five years ago.
For Nigeria to get the most out of this new change, working
together to update the power network, train more people in technical jobs, and
put together a solid plan for the country's industries will be important. The best way to move forward is probably to use Nigeria's ability to
produce oil and minerals to get the money needed to build and improve
roads and other transportation systems.
As big car companies from around the world and homegrown
start-ups keep coming up with new ways to make battery-powered vehicles work
for people in Nigeria, using electric cars and bikes will go from being
something far off to something most people can do in daily life. The statistics
show that people in Nigeria are starting to use electric cars more and more,
and it's not something that might happen later on, but is something happening now. Most importantly, they'll need to find a way that works best for their
country's economy, society, and the environment.
The silent engines of change are already being seen out on
Nigerian roads. How the country deals with getting electricity will decide if
it ends up helping with the country's economy overall or just turns out to be
another new technology that doesn't really help very much.